← All resorts, 0–3 days

Perisher — interval timeline, 0–3 days

The model explorer's matrix, cut by window instead of by day. Inside three days the timing is the forecast: fourteen millimetres in one overnight burst and fourteen spread across a weekend are the same daily figure and completely different events, and the snow level moves further inside a day than a daily number can show. Every column is a fixed window; every row is one model's reading of it, phase-split at the elevation you choose.

Beyond three days this resolution would be a drawing rather than a forecast, which is why the page stops at 72 hours and the daily view keeps the rest. The vertical-structure pages answer the other half of the same question — what shape the column has at one instant, rather than how much falls through a window.

Elevation
Window Rows
Models

Precipitation and phase by window

Model rows against fixed windows, AEST — totals are liquid-equivalent millimetres unless the row says otherwise

Snow share of precipitation 0% all rain all snow 100% The Precip row carries this ramp: hue is the snow share of the precipitation whose phase could be called at the selected elevation, and fill strength is the amount, so a heavy window states its split loudly and a trace states the same split quietly. Phase-uncertain and unclassified millimetres are held out of the ratio and damp the colour instead. Under 0.2 mm nothing is shaded — the split would be rounding. The Snow, SWE and Snow depth rows carry amount only; a dashed cell is data this source did not supply, never a zero.
What a window here does and does not claim
  • A blank cell is missing input, not a dry window. A model that stops before the end of the horizon leaves gaps; it has not forecast a dry Sunday.
  • Phase-uncertain precipitation is neither snow nor rain. It is precipitation falling within the snow level's own uncertainty band, shown beside the snow figure as +u and never folded into either side. Counting it as snow flatters the forecast; counting it as rain hides real snow.
  • Three-hour windows can be finer than the model. Several centres publish native three-hourly or coarser accumulations that the provider spreads evenly across hourly slots. Where that is measurable in the hours shown, the model's row says so — a three-hour column is then the provider's disaggregation, not independent model detail.
  • Provider SWE and snow depth belong to model-grid terrain. A source badge says whether SWE is supplied natively by the forecasting centre or derived by Open-Meteo. Both sit at whatever height the grid puts under this resort, which is not the elevation the phase split is evaluated at. They are a cross-check on that split, not a rival estimate of it, and the gap between them is mostly elevation. The depth figure's snow-to-liquid conversion is the provider's, not this project's. The fixed 0.7 cm/mm depth conversion does not alter the SWE millimetres.
  • The snow level is a range, not a track. Min and max across the window's hours. ≤ marks hours where the wet-bulb was already sub-zero at the model's own terrain, so the level is only an upper bound there; ~ marks hours estimated below that terrain by lapse rate rather than bracketed between supplied levels.
  • No snow depth is derived here. This project converts no liquid equivalent into centimetres anywhere, and does not start on this page.